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Jay Ulfelder
Jay Ulfelder
Harvard Kennedy School
Verified email at hks.harvard.edu - Homepage
Title
Cited by
Cited by
Year
A global model for forecasting political instability
JA Goldstone, RH Bates, DL Epstein, TR Gurr, MB Lustik, MG Marshall, ...
American journal of political science 54 (1), 190-208, 2010
13782010
Natural-resource wealth and the survival of autocracy
J Ulfelder
Comparative political studies 40 (8), 995-1018, 2007
3902007
Can structural conditions explain the onset of nonviolent uprisings?
E Chenoweth, J Ulfelder
Journal of Conflict Resolution 61 (2), 298-324, 2017
3312017
Contentious collective action and the breakdown of authoritarian regimes
J Ulfelder
International Political Science Review 26 (3), 311-334, 2005
2842005
Modelling Transitions to and from Democracy
J Ulfelder, M Lustik
Democratisation 14 (3), 351-387, 2007
1682007
Assessing risks of state-sponsored mass killing
J Ulfelder, B Valentino
Available at SSRN 1703426, 2008
1332008
How to construct stable democracies
JA Goldstone, J Ulfelder
The Washington Quarterly 28 (1), 7-20, 2004
1262004
Political Instability Task Force Report: Phase IV Findings
RH Bates, DL Epstein, JA Goldstone, TR Gurr, B Harff, CH Kahl, K Knight, ...
McLean, VA: Science Applications International Corporation 230, 2003
782003
It’s all about state structure: New findings on revolutionary origins from global data
J Goldstone, T Gurr, M Marshall, J Vargas
Homo Oeconomicus 21 (3), 429-455, 2004
452004
International integration and democratization: an event history analysis
J Ulfelder
Democratisation 15 (2), 272-296, 2008
372008
Forecasting onsets of mass killing
J Ulfelder
Available at SSRN 2056306, 2012
342012
Dilemmas of Democratic Consolidation: A Game-theory Approach
J Ulfelder
FirstForumPress, 2010
322010
Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types
S Minhas, J Ulfelder, MD Ward
Research & Politics 2 (3), 2053168015589217, 2015
192015
A multimodel ensemble for forecasting onsets of state-sponsored mass killing
J Ulfelder
APSA 2013 Annual Meeting Paper, American Political Science Association 2013 …, 2013
192013
Baltic protest in the Gorbachev era: movement content and dynamics
J Ulfelder
The Global Review of Ethnopolitics 3 (3-4), 23-43, 2004
162004
Political instability task force atrocities event data collection codebook
PA Schrodt, J Ulfelder
Parus Analytics, 2016
132016
Pathways to political liberalization in dictatorships
J Ulfelder
Available at SSRN 1532791, 2009
102009
Economic growth and political instability
PT Brandt, J Ulfelder
Available at SSRN 1907643, 2011
92011
Do Observables Really Produce Better Data? Problems with the ACLP Data Set for the Analysis of Regime Survival
J Ulfelder
Working paper, Science Applications International Corporation, 2006
92006
Protests under trump, 2017–2021
J Pressman, E Chenoweth, T Leung, LN Perkins, J Ulfelder
Mobilization 27 (1), 13-26, 2022
82022
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