Johannes Bracher
Johannes Bracher
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology / Heidelberg Institute of Theoretical Studies
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Zitiert von
Zitiert von
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (15), e2113561119, 2022
Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the US
EL Ray, N Wattanachit, J Niemi, AH Kanji, K House, EY Cramer, J Bracher, ...
medRxiv, 2020
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format
J Bracher, EL Ray, T Gneiting, NG Reich
PLOS Computational Biology 17 (2), e1008618, 2021
Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture
L Held, S Meyer, J Bracher
Statistics in medicine 36 (22), 3443-3460, 2017
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave
J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Goergen, JL Ketterer, A Ullrich, ...
Nature Communications, 2020
Long-term air pollution exposure and lung function in 15 year-old adolescents living in an urban and rural area in Germany: the GINIplus and LISAplus cohorts
E Fuertes, J Bracher, C Flexeder, I Markevych, C Klümper, B Hoffmann, ...
International journal of hygiene and environmental health 218 (7), 656-665, 2015
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset
EY Cramer, Y Huang, Y Wang, EL Ray, M Cornell, J Bracher, A Brennen, ...
Scientific Data 9 (1), 1-15, 2022
Endemic-epidemic models with discrete-time serial interval distributions for infectious disease prediction
J Bracher, L Held
International Journal of Forecasting, 2020
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations
K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandman, ...
medRxiv, 2022
Collaborative hubs: making the most of predictive epidemic modeling
NG Reich, J Lessler, S Funk, C Viboud, A Vespignani, RJ Tibshirani, ...
American journal of public health 112 (6), 839-842, 2022
Comparing ensemble approaches for short-term probabilistic COVID-19 forecasts in the US
LC Brooks, EL Ray, J Bien, J Bracher, A Rumack, RJ Tibshirani, NG Reich
International Institute of Forecasters, 2020
Using crowdsourced online experiments to study context-dependency of behavior
M Keuschnigg, F Bader, J Bracher
Social science research 59, 68-82, 2016
Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States
EL Ray, LC Brooks, J Bien, M Biggerstaff, NI Bosse, J Bracher, EY Cramer, ...
International journal of forecasting, 2022
On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions
J Bracher
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (42), 20809-20810, 2019
A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India
ES Nightingale, LAC Chapman, S Srikantiah, S Subramanian, ...
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14 (7), e0008422, 2020
Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation for quantiles
T Gneiting, D Wolffram, J Resin, K Kraus, J Bracher, T Dimitriadis, ...
Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application 10, 597-621, 2023
A marginal moment matching approach for fitting endemic-epidemic models to underreported disease surveillance counts
J Bracher, L Held
Biometrics, 2020
National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Görgen, JL Ketterer, A Ullrich, ...
Communications Medicine 2 (1), 136, 2022
Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland
NI Bosse, S Abbott, J Bracher, H Hain, BJ Quilty, M Jit, ...
PLOS Computational Biology 18 (9), e1010405, 2022
Periodically stationary multivariate autoregressive models
J Bracher, L Held
arXiv preprint arXiv:1707.04635, 2017
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