| Identifying and cultivating superforecasters as a method of improving probabilistic predictions B Mellers, E Stone, T Murray, A Minster, N Rohrbaugh, M Bishop, E Chen, ... Perspectives on Psychological Science 10 (3), 267-281, 2015 | 246 | 2015 |
| Primal world beliefs. JDW Clifton, JD Baker, CL Park, DB Yaden, ABW Clifton, P Terni, JL Miller, ... Psychological Assessment 31 (1), 82, 2019 | 124 | 2019 |
| The value of precision in probability assessment: Evidence from a large-scale geopolitical forecasting tournament JA Friedman, JD Baker, BA Mellers, PE Tetlock, R Zeckhauser International Studies Quarterly 62 (2), 410-422, 2018 | 60 | 2018 |
| How generalizable is good judgment? A multi-task, multi-benchmark study. BA Mellers, JD Baker, E Chen, DR Mandel, PE Tetlock Judgment & Decision Making 12 (4), 2017 | 58 | 2017 |
| Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments B Mellers, PE Tetlock, J Baker, J Friedman, R Zeckhauser The Future of Risk Management, 1-28, 2019 | 6 | 2019 |
| The Value of Precision in Geopolitical Forecasting: Empirical Foundations for Intelligence Analysis and Foreign Policy Decision Making JA Friedman, JD Baker, BA Mellers, PE Tetlock, RJ Zeckhauser American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 2015 | 4 | 2015 |
| Why Quantitative Probability Assessments are Empirically Justifiable in Foreign Policy Analysis JA Friedman, JD Baker, BA Mellers, PE Tetlock, R Zeckhauser Foreign Policy Analysis, 1-33, 2015 | 3 | 2015 |
| Assessing Credibility in Subjective Probability Judgment JD Baker University of Pennsylvania, 2019 | 1 | 2019 |
| How Much Precision is Necessary in Probabilistic Expressions of Risk? B Mellers, P Tetlock, J Baker, J Friedman, R Zeckhauser Wharton Risk Center, 0 | 1 | |
| Primals Inventory JDW Clifton, JD Baker, CL Park, DB Yaden, ABW Clifton, P Terni, JL Miller, ... Psychological Assessment, 0 | | |
| The Future of Risk Management M Ahmadiani, JD Baker, WJW Botzen, C Coglianese, G Colson, ... | | |
