“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations AE Murr Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011 | 72 | 2011 |
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections AE Murr International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015 | 35 | 2015 |
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015 | 32 | 2015 |
The wisdom of crowds: what do citizens forecast for the 2015 British general election? AE Murr Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016 | 28 | 2016 |
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018 | 20 | 2018 |
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election AE Murr Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015 | 11 | 2015 |
Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill Political Analysis, 1-20, 2015 | 9 | 2015 |
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong R package version 1, 2016 | 5 | 2016 |
Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck British Journal of Political Science, 1-8, 2019 | 3 | 2019 |
Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck PS: Political Science & Politics, 1-5, 2020 | 2 | 2020 |
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019 | 2 | 2019 |
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016 | 2 | 2016 |
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election AE Murr University of Essex, 2013 | 2 | 2013 |
Asking people in each state who they think will win suggests that the presidential election may be very close. MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2020 | | 2020 |
The Party Leadership Model predicts a Conservative outright majority AE Murr | | 2019 |
Forecasting National Turnout at British General Elections: Combining Polls and Structural Models A Murr, S Munzert SocArXiv, 2018 | | 2018 |
Middlesex University Research Repository D Leiter, A Murr, EO Rascon Ramirez | | 2017 |
Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party A Murr British Politics and Policy at LSE, 2015 | | 2015 |
Package ‘hot. deck’ S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong | | 2014 |
A Tournament of Voters’ Decision Making Rules AE Murr | | 2012 |