Andreas Murr
Andreas Murr
Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick
Bestätigte E-Mail-Adresse bei warwick.ac.uk - Startseite
Titel
Zitiert von
Zitiert von
Jahr
“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011
722011
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
AE Murr
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015
352015
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia
A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón
World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015
322015
The wisdom of crowds: what do citizens forecast for the 2015 British general election?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016
282016
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better
D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018
202018
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election
AE Murr
Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015
112015
Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors
R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill
Political Analysis, 1-20, 2015
92015
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation
S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong
R package version 1, 2016
52016
Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies
AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Journal of Political Science, 1-8, 2019
32019
Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics, 1-5, 2020
22020
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019
22019
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016
22016
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election
AE Murr
University of Essex, 2013
22013
Asking people in each state who they think will win suggests that the presidential election may be very close.
MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2020
2020
The Party Leadership Model predicts a Conservative outright majority
AE Murr
2019
Forecasting National Turnout at British General Elections: Combining Polls and Structural Models
A Murr, S Munzert
SocArXiv, 2018
2018
Middlesex University Research Repository
D Leiter, A Murr, EO Rascon Ramirez
2017
Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party
A Murr
British Politics and Policy at LSE, 2015
2015
Package ‘hot. deck’
S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong
2014
A Tournament of Voters’ Decision Making Rules
AE Murr
2012
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