Andreas Murr
Andreas Murr
Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick
Bestätigte E-Mail-Adresse bei - Startseite
Zitiert von
Zitiert von
“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
AE Murr
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia
A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón
World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015
The wisdom of crowds: what do citizens forecast for the 2015 British general election?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better
D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election
AE Murr
Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015
Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors
R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill
Political Analysis, 1-20, 2015
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation
S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong
R package version 1, 2016
Vote expectations versus vote intentions: rival forecasting strategies
AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Journal of Political Science, 1-8, 2019
Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics, 1-5, 2020
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election
AE Murr
University of Essex, 2013
Asking people in each state who they think will win suggests that the presidential election may be very close.
MS Lewis-Beck, AE Murr
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2020
The Party Leadership Model predicts a Conservative outright majority
AE Murr
Forecasting National Turnout at British General Elections: Combining Polls and Structural Models
A Murr, S Munzert
SocArXiv, 2018
Middlesex University Research Repository
D Leiter, A Murr, EO Rascon Ramirez
Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party
A Murr
British Politics and Policy at LSE, 2015
Package ‘hot. deck’
S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong
A Tournament of Voters’ Decision Making Rules
AE Murr
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