Andreas Murr
Andreas Murr
Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick
Bestätigte E-Mail-Adresse bei warwick.ac.uk - Startseite
Titel
Zitiert von
Zitiert von
Jahr
“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 30 (4), 771-783, 2011
712011
The wisdom of crowds: Applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections
AE Murr
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 916-929, 2015
352015
Mapping subnational poverty in Zambia
A De la Fuente, A Murr, E Rascón
World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015
302015
The wisdom of crowds: What do citizens forecast for the 2015 British General Election?
AE Murr
Electoral Studies 41, 283-288, 2016
282016
Social networks and citizen election forecasting: The more friends the better
D Leiter, A Murr, ER Ramírez, M Stegmaier
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (2), 235-248, 2018
202018
The party leadership model: An early forecast of the 2015 British general election
AE Murr
Research & Politics 2 (2), 2053168015583346, 2015
102015
Modeling latent information in voting data with dirichlet process priors
R Traunmüller, A Murr, J Gill
Political Analysis, 1-20, 2015
82015
hot. deck: Multiple Hot-deck Imputation
S Crammer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong
R package version 1, 2016
52016
Citizen Forecasting in the 2010 British General Election
AE Murr
University of Essex, 2013
42013
Vote Expectations Versus Vote Intentions: Rival Forecasting Strategies
AE Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Journal of Political Science, 1-8, 2017
32017
Citizen forecasting 2019: a big win for the Conservatives
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
British Policy and Politics at LSE, 1-4, 2019
22019
Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president
A Murr, M Stegmaier, MS Lewis-Beck
USApp–American Politics and Policy Blog, 2016
22016
Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment
AE Murr, MS Lewis-Beck
PS: Political Science & Politics, 1-5, 2020
12020
The Party Leadership Model predicts a Conservative outright majority
AE Murr
2019
Forecasting National Turnout at British General Elections: Combining Polls and Structural Models
A Murr, S Munzert
SocArXiv, 2018
2018
Middlesex University Research Repository
D Leiter, A Murr, EO Rascon Ramirez
2017
Citizens forecast a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party
A Murr
British Politics and Policy at LSE, 2015
2015
Package ‘hot. deck’
S Cranmer, J Gill, N Jackson, A Murr, D Armstrong, MD Armstrong
2014
A Tournament of Voters’ Decision Making Rules
AE Murr
2012
The dynamics of citizen forecasting: Do campaigns help citizens to form correct expectations about who wins the election?
AE Murr
2011
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